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more like Pin the Tail on the Donkey. In theory, Romney should be able to win between 215 and 250 250

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250 delegates on Tuesday -- about half of the 437 stake, and more than any other single candidate. If Romney Romney

Romney falls short of 200, it won't look good. If climbs toward 300, his aura of inevitability will continue to to

to glow.Fuzzy MathThat's more of a guess than a hard Republican Party's tangled delegate system allows each state to devise devise

devise its own rules, and all those rules differ from another in subtle or radical ways. To accurately predict who who

who will win which delegates where, one has to know each congressional district will vote, whether certain candidates will meet meet

meet 15 percent or 20 percent thresholds in districts states, and whether some states will become winner-take-all if enough enough

enough votes go to the leader. Not all of the Super Tuesday delegates will be "awarded," as most states will will

will send three party officials to the national convention as delegates. The nuances go on.A candidate will need 1,144 delegates delegates

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